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VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Berisha F.
39' Event
Kuhinja E.
82'
Heilig M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
VfR Mannheim
35%
Draws
21%
FC 08 Homburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: VfR Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC 08 Homburg lately — more wins on the board than VfR Mannheim.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on VfR Mannheim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC 08 Homburg have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 20%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfR Mannheim FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg
4:5
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Mannheim
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfR Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuhinja E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfR Mannheim 85 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfR Mannheim FC 08 Homburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Mannheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Solid form: VfR Mannheim remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: VfR Mannheim scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

VfR Mannheim VS FC 08 Homburg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VfR Mannheim

(Home)
10 Oct
VfR Mannheim
2 : 0
Stutt. Kickers
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
2 : 3
VfR Mannheim
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
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FC 08 Homburg

(Away)
09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 11 6 3 2 20:11 21
2 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
4 Stutt. Kickers 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
5 VfR Mannheim 10 4 5 1 16:9 17
6 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
7 TSV Steinbach Haiger 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
9 Sandhausen 11 4 4 3 19:21 16
10 Eintracht Trier 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
11 Kassel 11 4 2 5 20:21 14
12 FSV Frankfurt 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 11 2 4 5 16:19 10
15 Mainz II 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
16 Kaiserslautern II 10 2 3 5 9:21 9
17 Ulm 11 1 5 5 14:21 8
18 Fulda-Lehnerz 11 1 3 7 14:24 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)