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Vianes vs Arnedo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
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Match Events

15'
Martinez V.
25' Event
Gnamadio S.
49' Event
Medrano

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Vianes and Arnedo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vianes
20%
Draws
40%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of Vianes on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vianes taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vianes Clean Sheet 16%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vianes Arnedo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.1 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Arnedo
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Vianes
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Vianes
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Arnedo
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Vianes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vianes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnamadio S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medrano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vianes 41 / 100
Arnedo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vianes Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vianes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Arnedo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Arnedo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vianes VS Arnedo
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vianes

(Home)
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Vianes
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
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Arnedo

(Away)
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)