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Vianes vs Berceo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Marquina G.
45' Event
Saez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vianes
15%
Draws
59%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vianes lately — more wins on the board than Berceo.
  • Berceo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vianes Clean Sheet 10%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vianes Berceo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.19 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Berceo
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Vianes
0:2
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Vianes
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Berceo
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Berceo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vianes Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquina G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vianes 10 / 100
Berceo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vianes Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vianes scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Berceo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Vianes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vianes VS Berceo
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vianes

(Home)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
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Berceo

(Away)
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)