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Vianes vs Pena Balsamaiso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Crespo U.
39' Event
Medrano A.
44' Event
Garcia P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Vianes and Pena Balsamaiso finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vianes
15%
Draws
0%
Pena Balsamaiso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vianes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Balsamaiso haven't matched Vianes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vianes a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vianes Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vianes Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.19 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.41 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Vianes
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Vianes
3:4
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Vianes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vianes Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.21

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vianes 95 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vianes Pena Balsamaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vianes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Balsamaiso let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Pena Balsamaiso registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vianes's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vianes VS Pena Balsamaiso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.57
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Vianes

(Home)
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 7

Pena Balsamaiso

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)