Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Athletic Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cerutti M.
65' Event
Marsico A.
83' Event
Marsico A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Vibonese and Athletic Palermo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vibonese
20%
Draws
23%
Athletic Palermo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletic Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Vibonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Athletic Palermo
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Athletic Palermo
3:0
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Athletic Palermo
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs Vibonese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsico A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cerutti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Athletic Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
Athletic Palermo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Athletic Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Palermo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Vibonese found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Vibonese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Athletic Palermo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
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Athletic Palermo

(Away)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 4 4 0 0 13:0 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 3 1 0 13:8 10
3 Sambiase 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
4 Vibonese 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
5 Nissa 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 1 3 0 7:2 6
7 Milazzo 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 Calcio Avola 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
9 Licata 4 1 2 1 3:7 5
10 Castrumfavara 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 ASD Modica Calcio 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Athletic Palermo 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Gela 4 1 1 2 4:5 3
14 USD Ragusa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Lamezia 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Siracusa 4 2 2 0 7:4 1
17 Enna 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
18 Trapani 4 0 0 4 1:10 -5
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)