Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Athletic Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sasanelli L.
18' Event
Carnevale A.
37' Event
Mazzotta A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Vibonese and Athletic Palermo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vibonese
15%
Draws
32%
Athletic Palermo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletic Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Athletic Palermo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Athletic Palermo
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs Vibonese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasanelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carnevale A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzotta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Micoli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 76 / 100
Athletic Palermo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Athletic Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Athletic Palermo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Vibonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Athletic Palermo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Athletic Palermo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Palermo

(Away)
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
Athletic Palermo
1 : 3
A.C. Savoia
19 Apr
Vibonese
2 : 3
Athletic Palermo
12 Apr
Athletic Palermo
0 : 3
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)