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Stadium Background

Vibonese vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Alagna F.
50' Event
Pussetto A.
68' Event
Catalano G.

AI Match Summary

S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
23%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Agata haven't matched Vibonese's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vibonese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese S. Agata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs S. Agata
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Vibonese
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs S. Agata
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Vibonese
0:4
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs S. Agata
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Pussetto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Catalano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 86 / 100
S. Agata 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: S. Agata conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vibonese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
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S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)