Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Own Goal
81' Event
Semenzin G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vibonese
35%
Draws
31%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Siracusa at 1.48 per game, Vibonese at 1.14.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 17%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Siracusa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Siracusa
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Vibonese
3:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Siracusa
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Siracusa
0:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Vibonese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Semenzin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 57 / 100
Siracusa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Vibonese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Siracusa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
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Siracusa

(Away)
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 4 4 0 0 13:0 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 3 1 0 13:8 10
3 Sambiase 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
4 Vibonese 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
5 Nissa 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 1 3 0 7:2 6
7 Milazzo 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 Calcio Avola 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
9 Licata 4 1 2 1 3:7 5
10 Castrumfavara 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 ASD Modica Calcio 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Athletic Palermo 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Gela 4 1 1 2 4:5 3
14 USD Ragusa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Lamezia 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Siracusa 4 2 2 0 7:4 1
17 Enna 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
18 Trapani 4 0 0 4 1:10 -5
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)