Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viborg vs Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sondergaard M.
Assist: Zaletel Z.
31' Event
Emmery F.
Assist: Solbakken M.
60' Event
Sondergaard M.
Assist: Bundgaard O.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Viborg and Aarhus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Viborg
20%
Draws
33%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Viborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Viborg are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Viborg Clean Sheet 68%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viborg Aarhus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Superliga
Viborg vs Aarhus
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Viborg
1:1
May 17, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Viborg
6:2
Apr 6, 2026 Superliga
Viborg vs Aarhus
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Viborg
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sondergaard M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmery F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viborg 86 / 100
Aarhus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viborg Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viborg found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Viborg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viborg VS Aarhus
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Viborg

(Home)
14 Aug
Viborg
2 : 1
Aarhus
07 Aug
Sonderjyske
0 : 0
Viborg
02 Aug
Brondby
1 : 0
Viborg
24 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Odense
17 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
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Aarhus

(Away)
14 Aug
Viborg
2 : 1
Aarhus
11 Aug
Sabah Baku
4 : 0
Aarhus
05 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 1
Sabah Baku
01 Aug
Lyngby
2 : 2
Aarhus
29 Jul
Lech Poznan
1 : 5
Aarhus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brondby 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 FC Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
3 Midtjylland 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
4 Nordsjaelland 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Viborg 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
6 Horsens 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
7 Silkeborg 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Randers FC 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
9 Odense 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
10 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
11 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
12 Sonderjyske 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)