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Stadium Background

Viborg vs Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sondergaard M.
Assist: Zaletel Z.
31' Event
Emmery F.
Assist: Solbakken M.
60' Event
Sondergaard M.
Assist: Bundgaard O.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Viborg and Aarhus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Viborg
20%
Draws
46%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus's 1.74 goals per match outpaces what Viborg have produced (1.34).
  • Viborg are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Viborg Clean Sheet 15%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viborg Aarhus
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Viborg
2:1
Aug 14, 2026 Superliga
Viborg vs Aarhus
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Viborg
1:1
May 17, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Viborg
6:2
Apr 6, 2026 Superliga
Viborg vs Aarhus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sondergaard M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmery F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viborg 35 / 100
Aarhus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viborg Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viborg found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Viborg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viborg VS Aarhus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Viborg

(Home)
01 Nov
Viborg
1 : 0
Horsens
25 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Viborg
19 Oct
Viborg
1 : 2
Midtjylland
11 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 2
Viborg
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1
Viborg
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Aarhus

(Away)
05 Nov
Aarhus
0 : 0
Braga
01 Nov
Brondby
2 : 0
Aarhus
28 Oct
Roskilde
1 : 2
Aarhus
25 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Viborg
22 Oct
Aarhus
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Midtjylland 13 9 4 0 27:15 31
2 FC Copenhagen 13 9 2 2 28:12 29
3 Viborg 13 7 2 4 20:12 23
4 Brondby 13 7 1 5 23:20 22
5 Nordsjaelland 13 5 5 3 20:17 20
6 Odense 13 4 5 4 15:17 17
7 Horsens 13 4 4 5 23:21 16
8 Aarhus 13 2 6 5 17:21 12
9 Silkeborg 13 2 6 5 17:24 12
10 Randers FC 13 3 2 8 13:21 11
11 Lyngby 13 2 5 6 19:28 11
12 Sonderjyske 13 2 2 9 17:31 8
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)