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Vicenza vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Vicario J. In: Faggioli A.
Out: Vicario J.
63'
Sub
Capello A. In: Rauti N.
Out: Capello A.
63'
Sub
Caferri L. In: Tribuzzi A.
Out: Caferri L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Vicenza and Triestina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vicenza
20%
Draws
40%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vicenza come out ahead of Triestina on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vicenza taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vicenza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vicenza Triestina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
1:6
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Tribuzzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vicenza 68 / 100
Triestina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vicenza Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vicenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vicenza scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Triestina let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Vicenza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vicenza VS Triestina
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vicenza

(Home)
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2
Catania
02 Aug
Vicenza
4 : 0
Luparense FC
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
02 May
Arezzo
2 : 5
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)