Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Victor San Marino play Certaldo in the Serie D - Group D 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victor San Marino averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Certaldo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Victor San Marino won 0, Certaldo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Victor San Marino and 1.31 for Certaldo. This points to a Victor San Marino double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Victor San Marino has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Certaldo.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Victor San Marino.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Certaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victor San Marino scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Certaldo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Victor San Marino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Certaldo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carpi | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 66:31 | 68 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 56:13 | 66 |
| 3 | Corticella | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 59:40 | 57 |
| 4 | Victor San Marino | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Lentigione | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 49:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Forli FC | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:35 | 55 |
| 7 | Prato | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 37:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Sangiuliano City | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 9 | Fanfulla | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | 43 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:44 | 41 |
| 11 | Aglianese Calcio | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Imolese | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 31:33 | 40 |
| 13 | Sammaurese | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37:48 | 37 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 27:43 | 37 |
| 15 | San Donnino | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 32:58 | 25 |
| 16 | Certaldo | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 23:50 | 21 |
| 18 | Pistoiese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |