Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024

Victor San Marino

2 - 1

Pistoiese

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Arlotti S.

64'

Diakhate A.

77'

Greco M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Victor San Marino in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Victor San Marino

39%

Draws

30%

Pistoiese

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Victor San Marino haven't matched Pistoiese's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 16%

Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victor San Marino	Pistoiese
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	15	24
Draws	5	9
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	0	1.88
Goals Conceded	0	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Victor San Marino vs Pistoiese

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs Victor San Marino

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlotti S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakhate A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 31 / 100

Pistoiese 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victor San Marino Pistoiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Victor San Marino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pistoiese conceded in 48% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pistoiese

0 Goals Scored 1.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.38

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0