Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024

Victor San Marino

3 - 2

San Donnino

Our Tip

Match Events

Benvenuti G.

42'

Ferretti A.

76'

Bertolotti F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Victor San Marino in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Victor San Marino

39%

Draws

31%

San Donnino

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Victor San Marino have won more games recently than San Donnino.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 16%

San Donnino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victor San Marino	San Donnino
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	5
Draws	5	10
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Victor San Marino vs San Donnino

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group D

San Donnino vs Victor San Marino

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Benvenuti G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bertolotti F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

San Donnino Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferretti A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bongiorni M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 30 / 100

San Donnino 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victor San Marino San Donnino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

San Donnino has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Victor San Marino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victor San Marino VS San Donnino

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0