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Victoria Carei vs Olimpia Satu Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria Carei play Olimpia Satu Mare in the Liga 3 - Seria 10 2023/2024. Victoria Carei are favorites here. Recently, Victoria Carei averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Olimpia Satu Mare averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Carei won 2, Olimpia Satu Mare won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.17 for Victoria Carei and 0.99 for Olimpia Satu Mare. This points to a Victoria Carei double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Victoria Carei
20%
Draws
23%
Olimpia Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Victoria Carei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria Carei picked up more points recently compared to Olimpia Satu Mare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.17 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Victoria Carei Clean Sheet 23%
Olimpia Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Carei Olimpia Satu Mare
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Victoria Carei vs Olimpia Satu Mare
2:5
Apr 26, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Olimpia Satu Mare vs Victoria Carei
3:3
Dec 2, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Victoria Carei vs Olimpia Satu Mare
4:2
Sep 30, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Olimpia Satu Mare vs Victoria Carei
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Carei 56 / 100
Olimpia Satu Mare 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Carei Olimpia Satu Mare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Carei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Victoria Carei & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria Carei attacking → ← attacking Olimpia Satu Mare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Carei scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Olimpia Satu Mare let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Victoria Carei went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Satu Mare lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 21
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SCM Zalau18125133:1441
2CSM Satu Mare1896331:1933
3Crisul Santandrei1884629:1728
4Sighetu Marmatiei1883729:2627
5Baile Felix1876519:1727
6Victoria Carei1873823:3024
7Sanatatea Cluj18531021:2818
8Minerul Ocna Dej1838720:2417
9Olimpia Satu Mare1845922:3917
10Baia Mare18351018:3114