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Victoria Hotspurs vs Zebbug Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zebbug in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Victoria Hotspurs
15%
Draws
37%
Zebbug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Hotspurs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Victoria Hotspurs lately — more wins on the board than Zebbug.
  • Victoria Hotspurs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Victoria Hotspurs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zebbug, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Victoria Hotspurs have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Victoria Hotspurs Clean Sheet 18%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Hotspurs Zebbug
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 19 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 2.83 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2021 FA Trophy
Victoria Hotspurs vs Zebbug
1:4
Dec 1, 2019 FA Trophy
Zebbug vs Victoria Hotspurs
3:5
Dec 3, 2014 FA Trophy
Zebbug vs Victoria Hotspurs
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Hotspurs 76 / 100
Zebbug 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Hotspurs Zebbug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Hotspurs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria Hotspurs scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Zebbug's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Victoria Hotspurs has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Hotspurs VS Zebbug
1.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Hotspurs

(Home)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
03 Jan
Hamrun
5 : 0
Victoria Hotspurs
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
06 Feb
Victoria Hotspurs
1 : 4
Floriana
Page 1 of 6

Zebbug

(Away)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Zabbar 3
Mqabba FC 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Zebbug 4
Zurrieq 1
St. Andrews 3
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Sliema -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Mellieha 0
Pembroke -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 5
Kercem Ajax 2
Marsa -
TBD -
Senglea 1
Tarxien 2
Sannat Lions 1
Marsaskala FC 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Melita 3
Mgarr 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Lija 0
Fgura 4
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Pieta 3
Rabat Ajax 2
Hamrun -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 2
San Gwann 1
Zejtun -
TBD -
Qrendi 1
Xewkija 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Oratory 0
1/16-finals
Gzira 4
Zabbar 0
Gudja 4
Swieqi 0
Zebbug 0
St. Andrews 2
Santa Lucia 4
Sirens 1
Sliema 3
Vittoriosa 0
Pembroke 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Marsa 0
Tarxien 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Valletta 5
Floriana 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Melita 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara 4
Fgura 0
Mosta FC 5
Luqa 0
Balzan FC 5
Pieta 1
Hamrun 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Zejtun 7
Xewkija 1
Hibernians 2
Nadur 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 3
Gudja 1
St. Andrews 1
Santa Lucia 2
Sliema 1
Marsaxlokk 2
Tarxien 1
Valletta 5
Floriana 2
St. George's FC 0
Birkirkara 1
Mosta FC 0
Balzan FC 1
Hamrun 2
Zejtun 1
Hibernians 2
Quarter-finals
Gzira 0
Santa Lucia 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Valletta 3
Floriana 3
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Santa Lucia 0
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Hibernians 1
Final
Valletta 1
Floriana 2