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Victoria Nadlac vs Gloria Arad

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria Nadlac play Gloria Arad in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2007/2008. Gloria Arad are favorites here. Recently, Victoria Nadlac averaged 0.3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Gloria Arad averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Nadlac won 0, Gloria Arad won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2008 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Victoria Nadlac and 1.24 for Gloria Arad. This points to a Gloria Arad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Victoria Nadlac
16%
Draws
69%
Gloria Arad
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Gloria Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria Nadlac picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Arad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Victoria Nadlac Clean Sheet 19%
Gloria Arad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Nadlac Gloria Arad
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 1 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.3 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Victoria Nadlac vs Gloria Arad
0:2
Aug 31, 2007 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Gloria Arad vs Victoria Nadlac
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Nadlac 17 / 100
Gloria Arad 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Nadlac Gloria Arad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloria Arad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gloria Arad & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria Nadlac attacking → ← attacking Gloria Arad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Nadlac scored in 23% of their last 30 games.

Gloria Arad let in goals in 67% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Victoria Nadlac went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Arad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sannicolau32208457:1468
2ACU Arad321810451:2364
3Minerul Motru32179656:3560
4Surianu 1945 Sebes311510647:2355
5Minerul Mehedinti32149938:3151
6Gloria Arad321551249:4850
7Matasari321381145:4347
8Fortuna Covaci321371239:2646
9Energia Rovinari321431547:5545
10Albina321331637:3342
11Marmosim321321736:5341
12Ineu321161543:6339
13Calor Timisoara321071537:3437
14UM Timisoara321061638:4336
15CS Vulcan311061522:3036
16Nuova321061644:6036
17Victoria Nadlac32132812:846