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Victoria Sulejowek vs Lidzbark Warmimski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria Sulejowek play Lidzbark Warmimski in the III Liga - Group I 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victoria Sulejowek averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Lidzbark Warmimski averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Sulejowek won 1, Lidzbark Warmimski won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Victoria Sulejowek and 1.13 for Lidzbark Warmimski. This points to a Victoria Sulejowek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Victoria Sulejowek
29%
Draws
32%
Lidzbark Warmimski
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria Sulejowek picked up more points recently compared to Lidzbark Warmimski.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 21%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Sulejowek Lidzbark Warmimski
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Lidzbark Warmimski
4:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Victoria Sulejowek
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Top Goalscorer Pranica T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sliwka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Sulejowek 39 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Sulejowek Lidzbark Warmimski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Victoria Sulejowek or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria Sulejowek attacking → ← attacking Lidzbark Warmimski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Sulejowek scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Victoria Sulejowek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212