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Stadium Background

Victoria vs Inhulets Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria host Inhulets in the Persha Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Inhulets have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Victoria have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Victoria have won 0 to Inhulets's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.56 - 0.88) back Victoria to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Victoria
30%
Draws
58%
Inhulets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inhulets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inhulets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 20%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Inhulets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Inhulets
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Inhulets
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Victoria
4:2
Nov 19, 2023 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Inhulets
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Victoria
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 32 / 100
Inhulets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inhulets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inhulets conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Victoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Inhulets
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2
Inhulets
22 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 4
Veres Rivne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 9 5 2 2 11:6 17
2 Kulikiv 9 5 2 2 19:9 17
3 Oleksandriya 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 SC Poltava 9 4 3 2 13:5 15
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 4 2 3 14:12 14
6 Inhulets 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
8 Fenix Mariupol 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
9 Metalist Kharkiv 9 4 1 4 11:11 13
10 Kolos Kovalivka 2 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
11 Lokomotyv Kyiv 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
12 UCSA 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
13 Nyva Ternopil 9 2 4 3 9:9 10
14 FC Chernihiv 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 9 1 3 5 11:17 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)