Sport Picks
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Hryshchenko D. In: Shpyryonok A.
Out: Hryshchenko D.
46'
46'
Sub
Bagachanskyi M. In: Teplyakov D.
Out: Bagachanskyi M.
46'
46'
Sub
Lebedenko O. In: Sharay S.
Out: Lebedenko O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than Victoria.
- Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 42%.
- Metalist Kharkiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Metalist Kharkiv, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Victoria Clean Sheet 20%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria
2:2
Sep 9, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Victoria
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoria Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Prykhodko D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria 42 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victoria's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Metalist Kharkiv conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Victoria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Victoria VS Metalist Kharkiv
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria
(Home) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
15 Aug
Victoria
2 : 1 Kulikiv
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
23 Aug
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
