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Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
Victoria Logo

Victoria

1 - 3
FT
Nyva Ternopil Logo

Nyva Ternopil

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pezhynskyi M.
29' Event
Boryachuk A.
46'
Sub
Shpyryonok A. In: Hryshchenko D.
Out: Shpyryonok A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Victoria and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Ternopil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Victoria
30%
Draws
39%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Nyva Ternopil haven't matched Victoria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.24 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil
1:3
Apr 3, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Victoria
2:1
May 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Victoria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Hryshchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Pezhynskyi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boryachuk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 59 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Nyva Ternopil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Victoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Nyva Ternopil
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Fenix Mariupol 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
8 Metalist Kharkiv 10 4 2 4 11:11 14
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
13 Nyva Ternopil 9 2 4 3 9:9 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)