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Victoria vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria host SC Poltava in the Persha Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Victoria have averaged 1.29 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against SC Poltava's 1.18 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor SC Poltava slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.19, favoring Victoria. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Victoria
20%
Draws
42%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Victoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SC Poltava taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 20%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria SC Poltava
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Club Friendly
SC Poltava vs Victoria
0:0
Oct 25, 2024 Persha Liga
Victoria vs SC Poltava
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Victoria
1:0
Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Victoria vs SC Poltava
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Persha Liga
Victoria vs SC Poltava
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 24 / 100
SC Poltava 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: SC Poltava conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Victoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS SC Poltava
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
17 Oct
Victoria
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

SC Poltava

(Away)
17 Oct
SC Poltava
4 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
4 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
5 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)