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Victoria Wrzesnia vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Bartkowski J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Victoria Wrzesnia in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoria Wrzesnia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
30%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Victoria Wrzesnia have won more games recently than Grom Nowy Staw.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Grom Nowy Staw
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 29 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grom Nowy Staw conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Victoria Wrzesnia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Victoria Wrzesnia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Grom Nowy Staw registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Grom Nowy Staw
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)