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Victoria Wrzesnia vs KKS Kalisz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lutostanski J.
14' Event
Danielak K.
15' Event
Kanior K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Victoria Wrzesnia and KKS Kalisz finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
27%
KKS Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Victoria Wrzesnia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Victoria Wrzesnia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 12%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia KKS Kalisz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs KKS Kalisz
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutostanski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanior K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Danielak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biskup M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 83 / 100
KKS Kalisz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia KKS Kalisz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Victoria Wrzesnia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Victoria Wrzesnia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS KKS Kalisz
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

KKS Kalisz

(Away)
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)