Sport Picks
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
6'
6'
Welniak F.
20'
20'
Szymczak W.
35'
35'
Bakhno S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Victoria Wrzesnia and Lech Poznan II finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Victoria Wrzesnia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 11%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria Wrzesnia | Lech Poznan II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II
2:5
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoria Wrzesnia Compare
Top Goalscorer Welniak F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lutostanski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lech Poznan II Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymczak W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakhno S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria Wrzesnia 30 / 100
Lech Poznan II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Wrzesnia Lech Poznan II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Solid form: Victoria Wrzesnia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Victoria Wrzesnia VS Lech Poznan II
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria Wrzesnia
(Home) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3 KKS Kalisz
22 Aug
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 3
Lech Poznan II
(Away) 10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 2 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
