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Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Niklas O.
48' Event
Wajman J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
32%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lipno Steszew haven't matched Victoria Wrzesnia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Victoria Wrzesnia a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 16%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew
2:0
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Niklas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Wajman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 48 / 100
Lipno Steszew 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Victoria Wrzesnia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Lipno Steszew
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)