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Victoria Wrzesnia vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria Wrzesnia host Notec Czarnkow in the III Liga - Group II. Little to choose between these two on current form. Victoria Wrzesnia have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Notec Czarnkow's 1.57 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Victoria Wrzesnia have won 1 to Notec Czarnkow's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.63) back Victoria Wrzesnia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
27%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Victoria Wrzesnia on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 14%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Notec Czarnkow
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Victoria Wrzesnia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 30 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Victoria Wrzesnia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Notec Czarnkow
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)