Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kwaczreliszwili S.
15' Event
Golinski J.
22' Event
Jaszczak J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Victoria Wrzesnia and Nowe Skalmierzyce finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nowe Skalmierzyce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Victoria Wrzesnia
30%
Draws
34%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Nowe Skalmierzyce on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Victoria Wrzesnia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nowe Skalmierzyce here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 17%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Nowe Skalmierzyce
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:3
Feb 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwaczreliszwili S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jaszczak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 36 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Nowe Skalmierzyce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Wrzesnia found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Nowe Skalmierzyce let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Victoria Wrzesnia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415