Sport Picks
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kwaczreliszwili S.
15'
15'
Golinski J.
22'
22'
Jaszczak J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Victoria Wrzesnia and Nowe Skalmierzyce finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nowe Skalmierzyce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Nowe Skalmierzyce on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nowe Skalmierzyce's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nowe Skalmierzyce here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 14%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria Wrzesnia | Nowe Skalmierzyce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:3
Feb 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoria Wrzesnia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kwaczreliszwili S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Golinski J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jaszczak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria Wrzesnia 27 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Wrzesnia Nowe Skalmierzyce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nowe Skalmierzyce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victoria Wrzesnia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Nowe Skalmierzyce let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Victoria Wrzesnia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Victoria Wrzesnia VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria Wrzesnia
(Home) 26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3 KKS Kalisz
29 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3 KKS Kalisz
22 Aug
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
14 Aug
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 3 Luzino
Page 1 of 4
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Away) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 Apr
Luzino
4 : 3 Nowe Skalmierzyce
25 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 2 Nowe Skalmierzyce
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
