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Vidir vs Hottur

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hadraoui M.
14' Event
Saevarsson F.
63' Event
Gislason A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2018 game between Vidir and Hottur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vidir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vidir
20%
Draws
57%
Hottur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vidir come out ahead of Hottur on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vidir Clean Sheet 16%
Hottur Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidir Hottur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2018 Division 2
Vidir vs Hottur
3:1
May 5, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Vidir
0:0
Jul 16, 2017 Division 2
Hottur vs Vidir
3:4
May 6, 2017 Division 2
Vidir vs Hottur
4:1
Aug 28, 2010 Division 2
Vidir vs Hottur
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadraoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrafnsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidir 31 / 100
Hottur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidir Hottur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hottur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vidir found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Hottur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Vidir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vidir VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidir

(Home)
01 Apr
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Vidir
19 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Vidir
13 Sept
Vidir
2 : 3
Aegir
06 Sept
KFA
2 : 0
Vidir
30 Aug
Vidir
2 : 2
KFG Gardabaer
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Hottur

(Away)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)