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Vietnam U17 vs Japan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vietnam U17 play Japan U17 in the AFC Asian Cup U17 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vietnam U17 averaged 2.32 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Japan U17 averaged 2.35 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Vietnam U17 won 0, Japan U17 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Vietnam U17 and 1.31 for Japan U17. This points to a Japan U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vietnam U17
16%
Draws
43%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Vietnam U17 picked up more points recently compared to Japan U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Vietnam U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.32 2.35
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Vietnam U17 vs Japan U17
1:1
Jun 20, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U17
Vietnam U17 vs Japan U17
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 3.37
Avg xA / game 2.19

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U17 41 / 100
Japan U17 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U17 Japan U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U17 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vietnam U17 attacking → ← attacking Japan U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U17 scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Japan U17 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vietnam U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U17 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 60
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U1733009:29
2Saudi Arabia U1732015:56
3China U1731024:43
4Thailand U1730032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U1731117:54
2United Arab Emirates U1731114:54
3Australia U1731114:54
4Vietnam U1730303:33
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indonesia U1733007:19
2South Korea U1732017:16
3Yemen U1731023:53
4Afghanistan U1730030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tajikistan U1732015:56
2North Korea U1731206:35
3Oman U1731116:64
4Iran U1730124:71