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Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nguyen Tien Linh
Assist: Ho Tan Tai
21'
Nguyen Quang Hai
22'
Choe Ok-Chol

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2020 game between Vietnam U23 and North Korea U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vietnam U23
22%
Draws
60%
North Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U23 come out ahead of North Korea U23 on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on North Korea U23 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors North Korea U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 20%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U23 North Korea U23
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 23 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Friendly International
Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23
1:1
Jan 16, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23
1:2
Nov 16, 2010 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Korea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U23 20 / 100
North Korea U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U23 North Korea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: North Korea U23 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Vietnam U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U23 VS North Korea U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2331204:35
2Thailand U2331117:34
3Iraq U2330304:43
4Bahrain U2330213:82
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U2332103:17
2Syria U2331114:44
3Qatar U2330303:33
4Japan U2330123:51
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2333005:29
2Uzbekistan U2331114:34
3Iran U2331113:34
4China U2330030:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates U2331203:15
2Jordan U2331203:25
3North Korea U2331023:53
4Vietnam U2330211:22