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Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Nguyen Huu Tuan
Assist: Nguyen Dang Duong
46'
Sub
Talaroc K. In: Pena J.
Out: Talaroc K.
55'
Chung D.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam U23 in this AFF Championship U23 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vietnam U23
15%
Draws
59%
Philippines U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam U23 lately — more wins on the board than Philippines U23.
  • Vietnam U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFF Championship U23 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vietnam U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U23 Philippines U23
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 25 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.51 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
2:1
Aug 22, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
1:0
May 8, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
0:0
Aug 20, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Huu Tuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Philippines U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U23 36 / 100
Philippines U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U23 Philippines U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U23's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Philippines U23 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vietnam U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U23 VS Philippines U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U23

(Home)
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
28 Mar
Thailand U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
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Philippines U23

(Away)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Philippines U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)