Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Nguyen Tien Linh
Assist: Truong T. A.
17'
17'
Shrestha S.
Assist: Karki R.
45'
45'
Limbu L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Nepal.
- Win probability leans Vietnam's way, sitting at 90%.
- Vietnam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vietnam here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%
Nepal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vietnam | Nepal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 27 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 0 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.77 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Vietnam
0:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
3:1
Oct 21, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
2:0
Sep 27, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vietnam Compare
Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals Assists Leader Pham X. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Nepal Compare
Top Goalscorer Shrestha S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vietnam 95 / 100
Nepal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vietnam Nepal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vietnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vietnam's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Vietnam stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Nepal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Vietnam VS Nepal
2.88 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 20%
75% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Vietnam
(Home) 26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2 Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2 Vietnam
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0 Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2 Vietnam
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1 Cambodia
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2 Thailand
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0 Malaysia
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1 Cambodia
31 Jul
Vietnam
0 : 0 Singapore
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0 Myanmar
Page 1 of 4
Nepal
(Away) 31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1 Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1 Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2 Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1 Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1 Nepal
Page 1 of 6
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2 Nepal
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1 Nepal
10 Jun
Laos
2 : 1 Nepal
05 Jun
Hong Kong
0 : 0 Nepal
25 Mar
Malaysia
0 : 3 Nepal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
