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Vietnam vs Pakistan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Gelora Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
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Match Events

22'
Le Ngoc Bao
31' Event
Ullah M.
38'
Nguyen Tai Loc

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vietnam
20%
Draws
40%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vietnam have won more games recently than Pakistan.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vietnam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 20%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam Pakistan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 26 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 21
Goals Scored 2.61 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.65 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Vietnam vs Pakistan
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Hai Long
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Hoang Duc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Pakistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ullah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ullah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam 31 / 100
Pakistan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam Pakistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Pakistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Vietnam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam VS Pakistan
3.38 Goals Scored 1.6
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam

(Home)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

Pakistan

(Away)
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Malaysia 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
3 Singapore 3 1 0 2 1:8 3
4 Bangladesh 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Vietnam 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Philippines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Pakistan 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)