Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vietnam vs Philippines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung
Vietnam Logo

Vietnam

1 - 0
FT
Philippines Logo

Philippines

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Nguyen Dinh Bac
57'
Aguinaldo A.
59'
Sub
Gayoso J. In: Nishioka K.
Out: Gayoso J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vietnam
20%
Draws
29%
Philippines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippines haven't matched Vietnam's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Vietnam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vietnam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam Philippines
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 26 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.61 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Vietnam vs Philippines
1:0
Dec 18, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Vietnam
1:1
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Vietnam vs Philippines
3:2
Nov 16, 2023 World Championship
Philippines vs Vietnam
0:2
Dec 14, 2022 Friendly International
Vietnam vs Philippines
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Dinh Bac
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Philippines Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam 31 / 100
Philippines 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam Philippines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Philippines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Vietnam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam VS Philippines
2.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam

(Home)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

Philippines

(Away)
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Malaysia 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
3 Singapore 3 1 0 2 1:8 3
4 Bangladesh 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Vietnam 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Philippines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Pakistan 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)