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Vietnam W vs Thailand W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Lạch Tray Stadium
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Match Events

36' Event
Thao Tran T. T.
Assist: Huynh Nhu
65'
Sub
Phomsri K. In: Aupachai P.
Out: Phomsri K.
65'
Sub
Jinantuya J. In: Kwaenkasikarm W.
Out: Jinantuya J.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam W host Thailand W in the ASEAN Championship Women 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Vietnam W at 2.13 goals for, 1.25 against; Thailand W at 1.63 for, 0.38 against. Past meetings favor Vietnam W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.44) point toward Vietnam W. Vietnam W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vietnam W
6%
Draws
90%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thailand W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vietnam W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Thailand W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in ASEAN Championship Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Vietnam W Clean Sheet 16%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam W Thailand W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 0 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
3:1
Aug 12, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
1:0
May 21, 2022 Southeast Asian Games Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Thailand W vs Vietnam W
0:2
Dec 8, 2019 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Vietnam W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thao Tran T. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Thailand W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam W 10 / 100
Thailand W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam W Thailand W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Thailand W let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Vietnam W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Thailand W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam W VS Thailand W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam W330014:09
2Thailand W320114:16
3Cambodia W30121:141
4Indonesia W30121:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Myanmar W32106:27
2Australia U23 W320111:26
3Philippines W31118:24
4Timor-Leste W30030:190