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Vigasio vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gerevini G.
45' Event
Tarko D.
72' Event
Alessio M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Vigasio and Brian Lignano finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vigasio
15%
Draws
59%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Brian Lignano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 10%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigasio Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Brian Lignano
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Vigasio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerevini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alessio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 30 / 100
Brian Lignano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigasio Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brian Lignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vigasio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Brian Lignano conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vigasio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS Brian Lignano
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigasio

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

Brian Lignano

(Away)
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)