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Vigasio vs Fanfulla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Moras M.
72' Event
Bounafaa A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Vigasio and Fanfulla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigasio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vigasio
20%
Draws
32%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigasio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fanfulla haven't matched Vigasio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vigasio a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 68%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigasio Fanfulla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.35 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Vigasio vs Fanfulla
2:0
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Vigasio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Moras M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bounafaa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Fanfulla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 68 / 100
Fanfulla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigasio Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigasio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigasio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Fanfulla has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Fanfulla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigasio

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 7

Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)