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Vigor Carpaneto vs Alfonsine Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 15, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vigor Carpaneto host Alfonsine in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vigor Carpaneto have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Alfonsine's 0.67 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Vigor Carpaneto have won 0 to Alfonsine's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.19 xG vs 0.56) point toward Vigor Carpaneto. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vigor Carpaneto
30%
Draws
19%
Alfonsine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alfonsine haven't matched Vigor Carpaneto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vigor Carpaneto a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 20%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Alfonsine
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.4 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Alfonsine
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 42 / 100
Alfonsine 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Alfonsine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Vigor Carpaneto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alfonsine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Away concern: Alfonsine has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vigor Carpaneto VS Alfonsine
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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Alfonsine

(Away)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
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