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Vigor Carpaneto vs Fiorenzuola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vigor Carpaneto play Fiorenzuola in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vigor Carpaneto averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Fiorenzuola averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Vigor Carpaneto won 1, Fiorenzuola won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 2, 2020 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Vigor Carpaneto and 0.93 for Fiorenzuola. This points to a Vigor Carpaneto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vigor Carpaneto
31%
Draws
27%
Fiorenzuola
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto picked up more points recently compared to Fiorenzuola.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 24%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Fiorenzuola
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.4 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Fiorenzuola
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Vigor Carpaneto
3:1
Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Dec 12, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Fiorenzuola
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Galazzi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mastrototaro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fiorenzuola Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrondini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 43 / 100
Fiorenzuola 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Fiorenzuola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vigor Carpaneto or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vigor Carpaneto attacking → ← attacking Fiorenzuola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto scored in 85% of their last 20 games.

Fiorenzuola let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Vigor Carpaneto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fiorenzuola lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88