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Vigor Carpaneto vs OltrepoVoghera

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Vigor Carpaneto and OltrepoVoghera finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigor Carpaneto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vigor Carpaneto
30%
Draws
6%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vigor Carpaneto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 17%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 13
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.36 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs OltrepoVoghera
2:1
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 84 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Vigor Carpaneto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

OltrepoVoghera has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vigor Carpaneto VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 5

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)