Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vigor Mocidade vs CD Ribeira Brava

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2010/2011
Sun, Sep 5, 2010
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with CD Ribeira Brava advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vigor Mocidade
15%
Draws
85%
CD Ribeira Brava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ribeira Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ribeira Brava come out ahead of Vigor Mocidade on wins alone.
  • Vigor Mocidade are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • CD Ribeira Brava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Ribeira Brava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Mocidade CD Ribeira Brava
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.09 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Vigor Mocidade vs CD Ribeira Brava
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Mocidade 85 / 100
CD Ribeira Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Mocidade CD Ribeira Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Mocidade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ribeira Brava let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: CD Ribeira Brava has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vigor Mocidade found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (11 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ribeira Brava
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Mocidade

(Home)
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3

CD Ribeira Brava

(Away)
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3
Brito
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
25 Mar
AD Limianos
3 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2