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Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Attasi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Vigor Senigallia and Ancona finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ancona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vigor Senigallia
35%
Draws
40%
Ancona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ancona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Senigallia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Senigallia Ancona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Vigor Senigallia
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Vigor Senigallia
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer Attasi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Senigallia 46 / 100
Ancona 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Senigallia Ancona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ancona conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Vigor Senigallia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigor Senigallia VS Ancona
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Senigallia

(Home)
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
02 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
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Ancona

(Away)
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Ancona
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Ancona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)