Sport Picks
Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 
Match Events
19'
19'
Maio F.
30'
30'
Guadalupi L.
56'
56'
De Feo G.
AI Match Summary
Atletico Ascoli in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ascoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Ascoli haven't matched Vigor Senigallia's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Vigor Senigallia's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer De Feo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atletico Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Maio F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guadalupi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vigor Senigallia 40 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vigor Senigallia Atletico Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Atletico Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Vigor Senigallia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vigor Senigallia VS Atletico Ascoli
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vigor Senigallia
(Home) 04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
29 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Ascoli
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1 Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1 Maceratese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
