Sport Picks
Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Vigor Senigallia and Fossombrone finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vigor Senigallia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vigor Senigallia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vigor Senigallia 95 / 100
Fossombrone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vigor Senigallia Fossombrone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Vigor Senigallia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fossombrone has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Vigor Senigallia VS Fossombrone
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vigor Senigallia
(Home) 27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
29 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Fossombrone
(Away) 27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4 Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2 Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2 Fossombrone
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
