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Vigor Senigallia vs Giulianova Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pesaresi D.

AI Match Summary

Vigor Senigallia in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigor Senigallia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vigor Senigallia
20%
Draws
33%
Giulianova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Senigallia have won more games recently than Giulianova.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Senigallia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Senigallia Giulianova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Giulianova
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Giulianova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesaresi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Giulianova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Senigallia 50 / 100
Giulianova 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Senigallia Giulianova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Senigallia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Giulianova let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vigor Senigallia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vigor Senigallia VS Giulianova
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Senigallia

(Home)
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
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Giulianova

(Away)
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)