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Vigor vs Tollnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2014 game between Vigor and Tollnes finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vigor
15%
Draws
85%
Tollnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tollnes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tollnes taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vigor Clean Sheet 10%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Tollnes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Vigor vs Tollnes
4:2
May 8, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Vigor
2:2
Sep 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Vigor vs Tollnes
2:2
Jun 9, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Vigor
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor 10 / 100
Tollnes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Tollnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tollnes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vigor scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Tollnes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor

(Home)
13 Aug
Vigor
0 : 3
Start
27 Oct
Vindbjart
3 : 0
Vigor
20 Oct
Vigor
0 : 5
Vidar
07 Oct
Start 2
5 : 0
Vigor
28 Sept
Vigor
1 : 2
Fram
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Tollnes

(Away)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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