Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vihren vs Nesebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Spartak Stadium, Sandanski
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vihren host Nesebar in the Vtora liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nesebar have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Vihren have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.82. Head-to-head, Vihren have won 1 to Nesebar's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2004, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.44, favoring Nesebar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vihren
30%
Draws
27%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nesebar come out ahead of Vihren on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vihren Clean Sheet 16%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Nesebar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.82 2.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2004 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Nesebar
5:1
Sep 13, 2003 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Vihren
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 48 / 100
Nesebar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Vihren went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vihren scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nesebar has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS Nesebar
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

Nesebar

(Away)
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)