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Vihren vs Nesebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Spartak Stadium, Sandanski
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Dimov P.
46'
Sub
Veselinski A. In: Leo Pimenta
Out: Veselinski A.
46'
Sub
Simeonov M. In: Mitev R.
Out: Simeonov M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Vihren and Nesebar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vihren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vihren
30%
Draws
31%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nesebar come out ahead of Vihren on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vihren have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vihren Clean Sheet 19%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Nesebar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.69 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Nesebar
2:0
Mar 13, 2004 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Nesebar
5:1
Sep 13, 2003 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Vihren
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vihren Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bashliev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Nesebar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 49 / 100
Nesebar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vihren scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Nesebar has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Vihren remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS Nesebar
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
30 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Vihren
23 Oct
Vihren
1 : 1
Marek
17 Oct
Vihren
1 : 2
Lok. Sofia
09 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Vihren
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
Page 1 of 6

Nesebar

(Away)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)