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Viimsi JK vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Viimsi Staadion
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK play Elva in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viimsi JK averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Elva averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi JK won 2, Elva won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Viimsi JK and 1.13 for Elva. This points to a Viimsi JK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Viimsi JK
15%
Draws
38%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Viimsi JK picked up more points recently compared to Elva.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 21%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK Elva
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.85 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Elva
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
0:3
Jun 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 47 / 100
Elva 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK Elva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Viimsi JK or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi JK attacking → ← attacking Elva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Elva let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Viimsi JK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elva lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 48
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1873831:3224
5Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
6Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
7Levadia U2118701134:3321
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617