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Viimsi JK vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Viimsi Staadion
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK play Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viimsi JK averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Kalju U21 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi JK won 1, Kalju U21 won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Viimsi JK and 1.19 for Kalju U21. This points to a Viimsi JK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Viimsi JK
28%
Draws
30%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Viimsi JK picked up more points recently compared to Kalju U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK Kalju U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Viimsi JK
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Viimsi JK
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Kalju U21 vs Viimsi JK
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Kalju U21
4:0
Aug 4, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Viimsi JK
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 42 / 100
Kalju U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK Kalju U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Viimsi JK or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi JK attacking → ← attacking Kalju U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kalju U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Viimsi JK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kalju U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211693442:3130
4Elva1873831:3224
5Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
6Levadia U2118701134:3321
7Maardu Linnameeskond1755723:3620
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617