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Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Viimsi Staadion, Viimsi
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ernits H.
Assist: Malki E.
89' Event
Hoffmann T.

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Viimsi JK
20%
Draws
52%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Viimsi JK.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 14%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.03 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:3
Jul 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
2:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi JK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ernits H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoffmann T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 30 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK Tartu JK Welco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi JK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Tartu JK Welco conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Viimsi JK remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Viimsi JK VS Tartu JK Welco
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viimsi JK

(Home)
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
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Tartu JK Welco

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)